-Dr. DR Upadhyay,
The UML is legally divided. A new party called CPN-Unified Socialist has been formed under the leadership of Madhab Nepal. KP Oli has suffered a major blow as soon as Madhab Nepal left the UML. This blow will not be the last. Because the state governments of Gandaki and Lumbini have collapsed. It seems that the government of one state will also collapse. As Ashtalakshmi Shakya also left with Madhab, the government of Bagmati is also likely to fall again.
Oli threw the bait of unity many times but Madhab Nepal did not fall into that bait. Instead, they have shown great courage by opening a new party under their own leadership. Senior leaders like Madhav Nepal and Jhala Nath Khanal revolted from the UML and formed a new party, but the future will show what the future holds for this party. Madhav Nepal-Jhala Nath Khanal had to reject Oli completely. This is the result of Oli trying to run the party alone. KP Oli staged talks for unity three times. But that did not work out.
Unity without Madhab Nepal is a drama. There is no point in Oli pretending to be a third party leader. This time, the leaders of the third stream have fallen into the trap of Oli’s trap. There are other issues besides the clash between the leaders of the UML. Oli’s pride and arrogance is the main reason. Unable to bear his rule, Madhab- Jhalanath revolted. Nowadays, analysts claim that the Maoists, the Unified Socialists and the Rastriya Janamorcha on one side and the Oli UML on the other side are polarizing the four major communist forces active in the country’s parliamentary politics. The situation of divided parties in Nepali politics has always been deplorable.
Whether it was the UML that went to the polls in 2056 BS or the Maoists that went to the polls in the second Constituent Assembly, all of them were defeated. Oli UML’s lost crown is unlikely to return in the near future. Due to the mixed electoral system, no single party has a majority. In this case, the one who is strong in building the alliance, wins.
The national parties do not seem to be ready to cooperate with Oli’s UML, which is ready to sideline the constitution, federal rule and democracy. The future of the CPN (Unified Socialist) formed by rebelling against Oli’s rule is also challenging. Therefore, when Nepal-Khanal carried the flag of rebellion, it automatically became the parallel district committee of the UML nationwide.
A nationwide parallel network of people’s organizations was formed. Enthusiastic involvement of leaders and cadres was also seen in it. This will create a national party. At the same time, polarization in Nepal’s politics is intensifying. The Left-Democratic Party is in power while the right-wing conservative forces including RPP are in opposition under the leadership of Oli UML. In this situation, the Maoists, the Unified Socialists and the Rastriya Janamorcha on one side and the Oli UML on the other seem to be polarizing the four major communist forces active in the country’s parliamentary politics. Moreover, when the power of the Janata Samajwadi Party is added to it, it is clear that it will become a strong front.